If I am on the Denali Star train arriving in Fairbanks at 8pm, what is the likelihood that I would have enough time to catch a 11:23pm flight? (I'd reserve an UBER ahead of time, and need to check in two hours early by 9:30pm). How often is the Denali Star train late?
Trying to connect an 8:00 PM Denali Star arrival in Fairbanks to an 11:23 PM flight is very tight and generally not recommended. The main concern is that the train can experience delays, sometimes substantial, especially in summer due to track work, weather, or other operational issues.
While Alaska Railroad schedules are typically reliable, delays of 15–60 minutes are not uncommon, particularly in the Denali to Fairbanks segment. An on-time arrival is possible, but there is always risk when your connecting flight is just a few hours later.
If you were to attempt this connection:
Alternative options to reduce risk:
In short, while it might be technically possible to make the connection, it carries significant risk due to variable train arrival times and airport check-in/security requirements. A later flight or overnight stay is the safer choice.